Phosphate
Phosphate rock is the mined source of almost all the phosphorus used in fertilizers, animal feed and phosphorus chemicals. China is the largest producer, but Morocco holds about two-thirds of the world's known reserves.
Supply risk
Reviewed 3 Oct 2026 · Methodology
Elevated
China suspends phosphate fertilizer exports; Hormuz closure cuts Gulf supply
Export controls (high) and operational disruption (elevated) decide the level: China, the largest phosphate rock producer, suspended DAP and MAP exports in principle from 11 December 2025 until August 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since late February 2026, cutting Saudi output. Phosphate rock itself is less concentrated, so the level stays one below the highest driver.
Since 11 Dec 2025 · Sources: SunSirs, World Fertilizer, U.S. Geological Survey
Get alerts for this materialRisk drivers
- Supply concentrationModerate
- China mined about 110 million t of the world's 250 million t of marketable phosphate rock in 2025, about 44%, followed by Morocco, the US and Russia. Reserves are more concentrated: Morocco holds about 50 billion of 73 billion t. The EU's 2023 assessment put China's share at 48%.Sources: U.S. Geological Survey, European Commission, DG GROW
- Export controlsHigh
- China has managed phosphate fertilizer exports through quotas since 2021. On 11 Dec 2025 the NDRC suspended DAP and MAP exports in principle until August 2026; in early September 2026 producers had no guidance on a resumption. No export restrictions on phosphate rock by other leading producers were found.Sources: Agri-Pulse, SunSirs, S&P Global Commodity Insights
- Policy & tariffsElevated
- Since 1 Jul 2025 the EU has applied extra duties, rising in stages to 2028, on Russian and Belarusian fertilizers, including DAP and MAP (CN 3105 30 and 3105 40). Russia is the fourth-largest phosphate rock producer. Phosphate rock itself (HS 2510) is not covered.Sources: European Commission, Access2Markets, U.S. Geological Survey
- Operational disruptionElevated
- The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively impassable since the end of February 2026. Saudi producer Ma'aden has rerouted exports via Red Sea ports and Oman and cut its 2026 phosphate guidance, citing a lack of sulphur. In May 2026 OCP warned the disruption had become a global fertilizer supply shock.Sources: World Fertilizer, Fertilizer Daily
- Demand shockLow
- World consumption of P2O5 in fertilizers was an estimated 47.8 million t in 2025, up from 47.1 million t in 2024. USGS projects capacity to rise from 63.7 million t to 71.7 million t of P2O5 by 2029 and sees no imminent shortage of phosphate rock.Source: U.S. Geological Survey
Status history2 entries
Elevatedcurrent
China suspends phosphate fertilizer exports; Hormuz closure cuts Gulf supply
Export controls (high) and operational disruption (elevated) decide the level: China, the largest phosphate rock producer, suspended DAP and MAP exports in principle from 11 December 2025 until August 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed since late February 2026, cutting Saudi output. Phosphate rock itself is less concentrated, so the level stays one below the highest driver.
Sources: SunSirs, World Fertilizer, U.S. Geological Survey
Moderate
Baseline
China, the largest phosphate rock producer with 48% of supply in the EU's 2023 assessment, restricted DAP and MAP exports under a quota system, which USGS said cut its 2022 exports by about 5 million t. Export controls (elevated) and moderate concentration set a moderate level, as other exporters continued to supply world markets.
Sources: U.S. Geological Survey, The Cattle Site, European Commission, DG GROW
A supply-availability rating, not a price forecast or investment view. Export-control information is factual and is not legal advice.
Trade flows
2024 · HS 2510
Natural calcium phosphates (phosphate rock)
Recorded world imports: 12.8 Mt · $4.45B
Top exporters
- Peru38%4.9 Mt · $640M
- Morocco20%2.6 Mt · $468M
- Egypt6%800,763 t · $93.5M
- Syria5%665,149 t · $39.3M
- Algeria5%595,006 t · $91.8M
- South Africa4%508,442 t · $114M
- Senegal4%462,327 t · $71M
- Russia3%449,248 t · $99.6M
- Netherlands3%441,985 t · $123M
- Jordan3%355,142 t · $64.6M
Top importers
- United States26%3.4 Mt · $438M
- Brazil10%1.3 Mt · $182M
- Lithuania6%832,490 t · $150M
- Türkiye6%829,810 t · $99.7M
- Belgium6%810,497 t · $208M
- Serbia6%725,256 t · $45.3M
- South Korea5%580,159 t · $104M
- Pakistan4%576,656 t · $151M
- Bulgaria3%443,731 t · $52.4M
- New Zealand3%389,322 t · $81.6M
Largest routes
- Peru→United States3.4 Mt · $437M
- Peru→Brazil1.1 Mt · $150M
- Syria→Serbia664,818 t · $39.3M
- Morocco→Türkiye489,048 t · $63M
- Morocco→Pakistan476,163 t · $130M
Source: UN Comtrade, imports reported by 109 countries for 2024. Exporters are ranked by what importing countries recorded (mirror data), so countries that do not report their own exports are still counted. Values are in US dollars including freight and insurance. Weights are product weight. 55% of import value was reported without a weight and is left out of the weights. Recent years can be incomplete, and unrecorded trade is not included.
Overview
Phosphate rock is the commercial name for rocks rich in phosphate minerals, mainly the calcium phosphate apatite. It is the main mined source of phosphorus, one of the essential nutrients for all plants and animals.1 There is no for phosphorus in agriculture, which is why phosphate rock matters for food security.2
Phosphate rock is different from elemental phosphorus. Most phosphate rock is turned into phosphoric acid and fertilizers; only a small share is into elemental (white) phosphorus for industrial chemicals. That product has its own page: see phosphorus.1
The United States added phosphate to its list in November 2025 on the recommendation of the Department of Agriculture, citing food security.3 The European Commission's 2023 assessment, which formed the basis of the EU list, rated phosphate rock as critical.4
Where it comes from
Most phosphate rock comes from sedimentary marine deposits. The largest are in northern Africa, the Middle East, China and the United States; important igneous deposits are mined in Brazil, Canada, Finland, Russia and South Africa. World exceed 300 billion t.2
World production of marketable phosphate rock was an estimated 250 million t in 2025, about 5% more than in 2024. China, Morocco, the United States and Russia were the leading producers, in that order.2 China produces the most but exports little of it.1
- China110,000,000 t · 44%
- Morocco36,000,000 t · 14%
- United States20,000,000 t · 8%
- Russia14,000,000 t · 6%
- Jordan12,000,000 t · 5%
- Saudi Arabia10,000,000 t · 4%
- Egypt5,500,000 t · 2%
- Brazil5,000,000 t · 2%
- Peru4,800,000 t · 2%
- Other countries28,350,000 t · 11%
Marketable phosphate rock, gross weight. Country figures sum to 245.65 million t; USGS rounds the world total to 250 million t. Source: Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Phosphate Rock
are far more concentrated than production. Morocco holds about 50 billion t of the world's estimated 73 billion t.2 Inside the EU, the only operating phosphate rock mine is at Siilinjärvi in Finland.1
- Morocco50,000,000,000 t · 68%
- China3,400,000,000 t · 5%
- Egypt2,800,000,000 t · 4%
- Tunisia2,500,000,000 t · 3%
- Russia2,400,000,000 t · 3%
- Algeria2,200,000,000 t · 3%
- Brazil1,600,000,000 t · 2%
- South Africa1,500,000,000 t · 2%
- Other countries6,542,000,000 t · 9%
Country figures sum to 72.94 billion t; USGS rounds the world total to 73 billion t. Source: Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Phosphate Rock
Capacity is growing. Global capacity, measured as P₂O₅ content, is projected to rise from 63.7 million t in 2025 to 71.7 million t by 2029. Expansions due by 2028 are under way in Brazil, Kazakhstan, Mexico, Morocco and Russia, and larger new projects are being developed in Canada, Congo (Brazzaville), Guinea-Bissau and Senegal.2
What it is used for
Fertilizers dominate. Worldwide, about 91% of phosphate rock goes into fertilizer production; in the EU the share is about 85%, with roughly 10% used for animal feed supplements and around 4% for detergents, food additives and other chemicals.1 World consumption of P₂O₅ in fertilizers was an estimated 47.8 million t in 2025 and is projected to reach 51.5 million t by 2029, with Asia and South America leading growth.2
In the United States, more than 95% of mined phosphate rock is made into wet-process and superphosphoric acid for ammonium phosphate fertilizers and feed supplements. The rest is used to make elemental phosphorus, mainly for the herbicide glyphosate.2
Grades and forms
is beneficiated into marketable rock, whose value depends mainly on its P₂O₅ content. Most of it is then converted into phosphoric acid and finished fertilizers. About a quarter of US wet-process phosphoric acid output is exported as upgraded products such as DAP, MAP and merchant-grade acid.2
Marketable phosphate rock
Beneficiated ore with a P₂O₅ content suitable for making phosphoric acid or elemental phosphorus.
Wet-process phosphoric acid
Made by dissolving phosphate rock in acid; the main intermediate for fertilizers and feed phosphates.
Superphosphoric acid
Concentrated phosphoric acid used mainly to make liquid fertilizers.
Diammonium phosphate (DAP)
Granular ammonium phosphate fertilizer and one of the main traded phosphate products.
Monoammonium phosphate (MAP)
Granular ammonium phosphate fertilizer with a higher phosphorus-to-nitrogen ratio than DAP.
Trade and policy
US production has held at about 20 million t a year for several years as Florida producers face shrinking reserves and lower P₂O₅ grades, so imports have risen. In 2025 the United States relied on imports for 16% of its consumption, and Peru supplied more than 99% of imports in 2021–24. US imports of phosphate rock enter duty free.2 In October 2025 the Bureau of Land Management approved a new mine in Caribou County, Idaho.2
The EU relies heavily on imports. The Commission's 2023 assessment put EU import reliance at 82%, with Morocco (27%), Russia (24%), Finland (17%) and Algeria (10%) the main sources.4 Trade measures have shaped the market before: in 2012–2016, China, Morocco and Vietnam applied export taxes on natural calcium phosphates, Egypt had an , and China also applied an export .1
This section is factual background, not legal or trade-compliance advice.
Recycling and substitution
There is no of phosphate rock itself, and no substitute for phosphorus in agriculture.2 Phosphorus can, however, be recovered from secondary sources such as manure, sewage and food waste. Germany, Finland and Switzerland have adopted rules to require phosphate recovery.1
Sources
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Study on the EU's list of Critical Raw Materials (2020): Factsheets on Critical Raw Materials. European Commission, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6 ↩7
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Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Phosphate Rock. U.S. Geological Survey, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6 ↩7 ↩8 ↩9 ↩10 ↩11
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Final 2025 List of Critical Minerals (90 FR 50494). Federal Register, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩
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Study on the Critical Raw Materials for the EU 2023 – Final Report. European Commission, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2