Phosphorus
Elemental (white) phosphorus, P₄, is smelted from phosphate rock in electric furnaces and is the starting point for most industrial phosphorus chemicals. China dominates production, and the EU, which has no production of its own, imports mainly from Kazakhstan and Vietnam.
Supply risk
Reviewed 3 Oct 2026 · Methodology
Elevated
China dominates elemental phosphorus and keeps an export duty on it
Supply concentration (high) sets the level: China accounted for 74% of global elemental phosphorus supply in the EU's 2023 assessment and keeps a 20% export duty on yellow phosphorus. The EU has no production and sources mainly from Kazakhstan, and the US has a single domestic producer.
Since 1 Jan 2023 · Sources: European Commission, DG GROW, HTSHub
Get alerts for this materialRisk drivers
- Supply concentrationHigh
- China held 74% of global elemental phosphorus supply in the EU's 2023 assessment. The EU has no production and imports all it uses; Kazakhstan provided 65% of EU sourcing.Source: European Commission, DG GROW
- Export controlsModerate
- China's 2026 tariff schedule keeps a 20% export duty on yellow (white) phosphorus, HS 2804.70.10. No export licensing, quota or ban on elemental phosphorus by China or Kazakhstan was identified.Source: HTSHub
- Policy & tariffsModerate
- Executive Order 14387 of 18 Feb 2026 lets the US Department of Agriculture use Defense Production Act powers to prioritise and allocate elemental phosphorus, citing a single domestic producer. Proclamation 11001 (14 Jan 2026) imposed no Section 232 tariff on processed critical minerals but left further measures open.Sources: Farm Policy News, University of Illinois, Thompson Hine
- Operational disruptionLow
- No significant outage was identified in the 12 months to October 2026. The sole US producer in Idaho draws on a nearly depleted phosphate mine; a replacement mine in Caribou County was approved in October 2025.Sources: Civil Eats, U.S. Geological Survey
- Demand shockLow
- No demand-driven shortage or allocation of elemental phosphorus was identified as of October 2026.
A supply-availability rating, not a price forecast or investment view. Export-control information is factual and is not legal advice.
Trade flows
2025 · HS 280470
Phosphorus (element)
Recorded world imports: 145,263 t · $757M
Top exporters
- Vietnam50%73,173 t · $317M
- Kazakhstan35%51,264 t · $186M
- United States11%15,322 t · $73.5M
- Latvia<1%1,403 t · $5.21M
- China<1%1,110 t · $6.82M
- Netherlands<1%494 t · $1.99M
- Germany<1%362 t · $1.46M
- Poland<1%350 t · $1.38M
- India<1%274 t · $1.96M
- France<1%109 t · $532K
Top importers
- India37%53,245 t · $213M
- Japan14%20,443 t · $90.3M
- Poland12%18,066 t · $60.5M
- South Korea11%15,260 t · $71.7M
- Brazil10%14,100 t · $68.1M
- United States5%7,445 t · $28.8M
- Italy3%4,596 t · $21.1M
- Denmark3%4,434 t · $15.6M
- Switzerland1%1,853 t · $7.53M
- Canada<1%1,403 t · $6.84M
Largest routes
- Vietnam→India27,792 t · $114M
- Kazakhstan→India24,050 t · $93.4M
- Vietnam→Japan20,429 t · $90.2M
- Kazakhstan→Poland17,377 t · $57.6M
- Vietnam→South Korea14,452 t · $66.6M
Source: UN Comtrade, imports reported by 70 countries for 2025. Exporters are ranked by what importing countries recorded (mirror data), so countries that do not report their own exports are still counted. Values are in US dollars including freight and insurance. Weights are product weight. 20% of import value was reported without a weight and is left out of the weights. Recent years can be incomplete, and unrecorded trade is not included.
Overview
Phosphorus is a non-metallic element that never occurs uncombined in nature. It is made by heating phosphate rock with carbon and silica in a furnace; the phosphorus comes off as a vapor and is condensed under water.1
This page covers the element itself, often called white or yellow phosphorus (P₄). It is a different commodity from phosphate rock, the mined mineral. Most phosphate rock goes straight into fertilizers, and only a small part of it is turned into elemental phosphorus.2
Elemental phosphorus is critical for the EU because the bloc has no production and imports all of it. The Commission's 2023 assessment gave it a supply-risk score of 3.3, well above the criticality threshold of 1.0.3
Where it comes from
Elemental phosphorus is made only in electrothermal reducing furnaces, a very energy-intensive process that uses about 14 MWh of electricity per of phosphorus, roughly as much as a tonne of aluminum. World output is not precisely known; the Commission estimated it at about 1.2 million t of P₄ a year in 2012–2016.2
China dominates. It accounted for 87% of world production in 2016, though most of its output is used at home. Kazakhstan was the main supplier to world markets, and Vietnam expanded capacity over the previous decade. The only other operating plants at the time were a single facility in the United States and plants in Kazakhstan and Vietnam.2 The Commission's 2023 assessment put global supply shares at China 79%, the United States 11%, Kazakhstan 6% and Vietnam 5%.3
There is no elemental phosphorus production in the EU, and phosphate rock mined in the EU is not used to make it.2 In the United States, part of domestic phosphate rock output is still into elemental phosphorus.4
What it is used for
Elemental phosphorus is the raw material for a wide range of phosphorus chemicals. Uses include flame retardants, lubricant and oil additives, pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, industrial water treatment, anti-scaling agents, emulsifiers, nickel plating, and luminescent materials.2 In the United States, the main use is to make phosphorus compounds for the herbicide glyphosate.4
The element itself is also used in flares and incendiary devices, and red phosphorus is used in matches.1 The Commission lists chemical and defense applications as its main uses.3
For many of these uses there is no . The Commission sets substitution for elemental phosphorus at zero because many of the chemicals made from it have no alternative.2
Grades and forms
White phosphorus is highly reactive and poisonous. It is therefore usually converted soon after production into "holding derivatives" such as phosphorus trichloride, which can be transported and used to make other phosphorus chemicals.2
White (yellow) phosphorus, P₄
The form produced in electrothermal furnaces; highly reactive and toxic, it is usually converted into derivatives soon after production.
Red phosphorus
A more stable form made by gently heating white phosphorus to about 250 °C without air; used on matchbox striking surfaces.
Phosphorus trichloride (PCl₃)
The main precursor for organic phosphorus chemistry and a common way of moving phosphorus to downstream users.
Thermal (high-purity) phosphoric acid
Very pure phosphoric acid made by burning elemental phosphorus, including electronics grades.
Trade and policy
The EU consumed about 48,300 t of P₄ a year in 2012–2016, all of it imported; Kazakhstan supplied about 71% of imports, followed by China and Vietnam. China and Kazakhstan applied export taxes or restrictions on phosphorus in that period.2 The Commission's 2023 assessment found that Kazakhstan supplied 62% of EU sourcing, Vietnam 22% and China 13%.3
This section is factual background, not legal or trade-compliance advice.
Recycling and substitution
No functional of elemental phosphorus exists, and the Commission puts its end-of-life recycling input rate at 0%.3 Processes to make P₄ from phosphorus-rich wastes, such as sewage sludge ash or meat and bone meal ash, had reached only pilot scale by the time of the 2020 assessment.2
Worldwide, producers of phosphoric acid have gradually shifted from elemental phosphorus to purified wet-process acid, which costs less and avoids the hazardous wastes of the thermal route. Even so, the thermal route still accounted for more than half of the world's high-purity phosphoric acid capacity, mainly in China.2
Sources
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Phosphorus: element information, properties and uses. Royal Society of Chemistry, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2
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Study on the EU's list of Critical Raw Materials (2020): Factsheets on Critical Raw Materials. European Commission, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6 ↩7 ↩8 ↩9 ↩10
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Study on the Critical Raw Materials for the EU 2023 – Final Report. European Commission, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5
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Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026: Phosphate Rock. U.S. Geological Survey, accessed 2026-10-03. ↩ ↩2